A warning sign for Ted Cruz in Pennsylvania



Every delegate counts in the race to deny Trump the 1237 he needs to win nomination on the first ballot. My estimates put him short anywhere from 25-70 delegates to win the nomination. But that depends on his only winning 16 of the 17 delegates selected by voters in Pennsylvania

The other 54 delegates are picked by the party in caucuses and are officially not required to support a particular a candidate. However, a survey of these delegates show that while a few support Cruz and a few support Trump, the vast majority of them say they will vote for whoever wins their district. If Trump wins nearly half the vote in Pennsylvania, as he is expected to, and these uncommitted delegates keep their word, that means that Trump could pick up another 27 or so delegates from the Pennsylvania uncommitted pool. That will put him perilously close to the magic 1237 he needs to be nominated.

Of course, uncommitted delegates don't have to vote for Trump, even if they say they will vote for the winner of their primary....



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Polling data for New York State GOP Primary by congressional districts


Most delegates in New York will be awarded based on congressional districts. If Trump wins a district by over 50%, he gets three delegates; less than that, he may get two or one.
CONTINUE READING

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Trump's inept campaign shows he would be an inept president


Trump supporters say Trump is a brilliant businessman who will pick the best people to work for him and run a competent administration. Well, how competent has his campaign been? So far, not very:
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University with 2% graduation rate bemoans temporary loss of government funding


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New York City's warped priorities


New York City gets its water from upstate, delivered by underwater conduits that are extremely old and have a tendency to leak and break down. If the main conduit were to break down entirely, parts of the City could be without water. Realizing the danger, the previous administration (Bloomberg) spent money to start building a backup water tunnel. But the current mayor, De Blasio, says the city doesn't have enough money for the tunnel.
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Donald Trump is polling around 40% in California. Ted Cruz is polling around 32%. That's right where he needs to be.
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Mark Levin joined #NeverTrump today, but for all the wrong reasons. I listen to Mark Levin every day. I could hardly be called a Levin hater. But his reasoning was ridiculous.
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Belgium, examining the causes of the radical Islamic bombing attacks, squarely places the blame on itself, not radical Islam.
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New Hijab wearing muppet "empowers women"


In a classic example of 1984-style opposite common sense thinking, Sesame Street is introducing a Hijab wearing muppet which is said to "empower women." That is opposite reality because the hijab is a symbol of servitude and second class citizenship for Muslim women.
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