Stephen Hawking is a fraud



I have always felt that astrophysicist Stephen Hawking was way, way, overrated, on the scale of Neil Degrasse Tyson and Bill Nye the so-called "Science Guy". But I didn't have any proof, until now.

That's because until recently Hawking's main schtick has been talking about the origins of the universe, a subject he cannot possibly know anything about. And neither can the rest of us. And since none of us have evidence to challenge his theories, and he has excellent marketing and PR, he is labeled a genius and no one can call him out for it.

Until now. Hawking has gotten into trouble because he has branched out from describing the unverifiable past into making predictions for the future. He made a prediction for 1000 years into the future, thinking it far enough ahead that he could be safe enough to say whatever he likes.

Hawking predicts that life on Earth will be destroyed in 1000 years. He cites two reasons for this.

First, the rise of artificial intelligence. He doesn't say so directly but it seems he fears that something like out-of-control Terminator robots will destroy mankind. Really. That's such a remote possibility as not to be even currently conceivable. (Besides, if it did happen, we could send time travelers into the past to try to stop Skynet from going online.)

Hawking's other prediction of disaster is an older, more established troupe, that the Earth will run out of resources in 1000 years. Really? Didn't someone else already make a similar prediction regarding food, someone named Malthus, and didn't he prove to be terribly, terribly wrong?

Does Hawking know that with population increases the amount of land under cultivation has actually declined slightly since 1990? Is Hawking aware that only 40% of land used for farming there is much more available? Does he know that advances in technology, especially genetically modified crops, can increase yields multiple times over? Does he consider the possibility that birth control in the third world may some day take hold, stabilizing the world population? Apparently not.

If by "resources" Hawking is talking about energy, we are constantly finding new sources of gas and oil. But we weren't using gas and oil 300 years ago and I would bet we won't be using it much 300 years from now. Again he fails to take into account rapidly changing technology.

Hawking also thinks imaginary man-made global warming will turn the Earth into Venus. Really.

“A more immediate danger is runaway climate change,” Hawking said. “A rise in ocean temperature would melt the ice-caps, and cause a release of large amounts of carbon dioxide from the ocean floor. Both effects could make our climate like that of Venus, with a temperature of 250 degrees.”

Global warming isn't even happening, man-made or not. Temperatures have flattened out in recent years.

The irony is that there are real dangers to mankind, but they are political and economic in nature. In America we have had a steady trend of administrations and Supreme Court decisions which have flouted our constitutional protections and given the government the power to be increasingly tyrannical. We have nearly 20 trillion dollars in national debt and nearly 200 trillion dollars in unfunded obligations. That is a much more immediately and likely threat to our survival than the vague fear of Arnold Schwarzenegger style robots 1000 years from now.

But Hawking disregards that. He's a liberal and fears the imaginary and ignores the real. He's a fraud.

By the way, I am fully aware that Hawking has sclerosis, is confined to a wheelchair and speaks in a HAL 9000 voice, but he should actually be thanking me because I am doing him the honor of evaluating him based on the standard of a regular human being, not a disabled one. Science is not the disabled olympics, nor should it be.









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